Saturday, July 31, 2010

saturday morning>

foggy and 18C/65F before sunrise this morning. only a few drops of rain overnight, with only around a tenth of an inch (2-3mm) reported in the past 24 hours. quite surprising, considering all the thunder rumbling around last night. this is why it would be great to have rainfall observers in other parts of the area... showers and thundershowers (as opposed to steady stratoform rains) are by nature quite random, and amounts can vary greatly over a small geographical area.

this morning's satellite pics are showing more random shower and thundershower activity, extending from just south and west of dharamsala, to shimla, and on to dehra dun and even into the delhi ncr. the general drift of all of this is to the north, so we stand a good chance to get in on the action today. it's not necessary to make any major adjustments to the current 5 day forecast, as the overall pattern will remain pretty much the same right into the middle of next week. we have abundant tropical moisture at the surface, and a very benign upper-air pattern. that means more of the same... a bit of sun... a lot of fog... occasional tropical showers (some heavy)... and pleasant temps...

SATURDAY: mostly cloudy and foggy with periods of showers and thundershowers likely.
high: 22C (72F)

SATURDAY NIGHT: a good chance of some showers or thundershowers in the area.
low: 18C (64F)

SUNDAY: partly to mostly cloudy skies. periods of fog, along with a good chance of off and on showers and thundershowers.
high: 22C (72F)

MONDAY: some glimpses of sunshine in the AM. mostly cloudy and foggy with a few showers in the afternoon.
high: 22C (72F)

TUESDAY: a mix of clouds, fog and sunshine. good chance of a few scattered showers.
high: 23C (73F)

WEDNESDAY: mostly cloudy and foggy with a good chance of showers and thundershowers.
high: 22C (71F)