Sunday, July 18, 2010

sunday morning>

light to moderate rain has been falling virtually all night long, and continues as of 620am, along with a temperature of 18c/65f. the satellite photo early this morning shows a few areas of rain and thundershowers scattered from western kashmir into central himachal pradesh, and it appears that they are drifting very slowly toward the south. what does NOT show up well on the infrared satellite pics is the warmer, low level moisture that is providing fuel for the persistent rains overnight. check this space for an overnight rainfall total later this morning...

**UPDATE** rainfall from yesterday afternoon at 3pm until around 7am this morning was just 1/2 inch (1.3cm)... but that gives us a total of 2.55" (6.5cm) since friday afternoon.**

there is no indication that the wet pattern of the past 36 hours is going to ease. in fact, the latest computer models continue to increase rain probabilities and amounts... right into wednesday. any reprieve between now and then will likely be short lived, and glimpses of sunshine will be quickly over-powered by the very deep tropical moisture which will keep lots of clouds and fog around. as mentioned yesterday, we could easily see a total of 8+ inches (20cm+) by the time this latest surge of the monsoon winds down. temperatures will move very little, and remain mostly in the 17-21C (64-70F) range for the next several days.

SUNDAY: cloudy and foggy with periods of rain. a thunderstorm or two also possible.
high: 21C (69F)

SUNDAY NIGHT: mostly cloudy skies with fog. off and on rainshowers likely.
low: 18C (64F)

MONDAY: periods of rain and possible thunderstorms, with heavy rainfall a good bet. otherwise mostly cloudy and foggy.
high: 21C (69F)

TUESDAY: periods of moderate to heavy rain. cloudy, foggy and cool.
high: 20C (68F)

WEDNESDAY: more monsoon madness. clouds, fog, rain (some heavy).
high: 20C (68F)

THURSDAY: mostly cloudy with periods of fog. still a good chance of occasional rain showers around the area.
high: 21C (69F)