Wednesday, September 22, 2010

wednesday morning (22sep)>

it's cloudy and 16C/60F early this morning, with ominous-looking skies to our south.  only a few sprinkles of rain occurred during the pre-dawn hours, but steady light rain is beginning to fall just now (650am).

we are right on the edge of a large area of rain and thunderstorms, which currently covers most of punjab, and the southwest part of himachal pradesh.  most of the clouds and precipitation continue to drift slowly to the north... so if that movement holds... we should see some significant rains here shortly.  this rainfall is associated with what could be the FINAL surge of monsoon moisture... and computer models again this morning are showing the potential for a good soaking during the next 24-36 hours.  as i've mentioned the last couple of days, some 1-2" (3-5cm) amounts are possible before thursday evening if this scenario plays out.  after that, it really does appear that we will be able to say GOODBYE to the monsoon for this year.  dramatic drying will occur in the atmosphere...from top to bottom... which should scour out most of the fog, chase the rain away, and bring us increasing amounts of sunshine as we head into the weekend...

WEDNESDAY: mostly cloudy skies with periods of rain likely, along with possible thunder.  cool, with some fog at times.
high: 19C (66F)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: partly to mostly cloudy with a good chance of more showers or thunderstorms.
low: 14C (58F)

THURSDAY: a few peeks of sun possible... otherwise mostly cloudy with some fog.  good chance of another period or two of showers and thundershowers.
high: 20C (68F)

FRIDAY: partly sunny, with only a slight chance of a PM shower or thundershower.
high: 21C (69F)

SATURDAY: a mix of sunshine and a few periods of clouds.  dry and pleasant!
high: 21C (70F)

SUNDAY: partly to mostly sunny skies.  comfortable temps.
high: 22C (71F)