Saturday, January 29, 2011

saturday evening (29jan)>

an impressive cluster of showers and thundershowers is evident on the satellite photos across central and northern pakistan late this afternoon.  this inclement weather is associated with a strengthening upper-level storm system which will be moving through northern india during the next 24 hours or so.  mainly high clouds have been common across our area thus far today, but will continue to thicken up this evening and overnight.  one computer model is showing 18mm (0.7in) of precipitation between now and late sunday... most of that will occur late tonight and tomorrow morning.  a water to snow ratio of 1:10 (which is a general rule-of-thumb) would suggest the potential for 18cm (7in) of snow in areas that are cold enough.  i am still thinking that most accumuating snow will occur ABOVE mcleod ganj... but that depends on how much and how fast the atmosphere is going to cool off once precipitation starts.

at any rate... be aware of the possibility of accumulating snow in the area tonight into mid-day sunday, possibly accompanied by some thunder and lightning.  check here for updates...

SATURDAY NIGHT: mostly cloudy skies with an increasing chance of rain and/or snow showers.  thunder is possible as well.
low: 2C (36F)

SUNDAY: good chance of a mix of rain and snow (with thunder?) until the mid-afternoon.  some clearing is possible by evening.
high: 7C (44F)

SUNDAY NIGHT: partly cloudy and cold.
low: 1C (34F)

MONDAY: partly to mostly sunny... milder.
high: 9C (48F)

TUESDAY: mostly sunny skies... nicer temps.
high: 11C (51F)

WEDNESDAY: mostly sunny.
high: 11C (52F)

THURSDAY: quite mild, with increasing clouds and a slight chance of a shower by evening.
high: 12C (53F)