Wednesday, June 22, 2011

competing factors... (am.22.jun.11)>

it is another totally clear morning... and one of the warmest of the past month, with a pre-sunrise temp of 71.8F (22.1C).  we've now had more than 36 hours without rainfall.

yesterday's dramatic return to summertime weather brought us the warmest temperatures in two weeks, but can it hold on?  muggy, tropical air continues to spread slowly north and westward across the indian subcontinent, but hot, dry, summertime air remains entrenched to the southwest of us.  add to that mix the cooler mountain air to the north and northeast, and you get an interesting weather scenario for us here.  the volatility of all these factors converging will give us the chance of rapidly developing showers and thunderstorms at any time during the next few days... along with the potential for some fog.  but also, the summer sun is not going to give up just yet, so temperatures (at least for the next day or two) will be a bit warmer than they were earlier this month.

the truth of the matter is this:  we get to remain in the speculation phase for a while longer, in advance of the inevitable arrival of the monsoon...

WEDNESDAY: a sunny start, then becoming partly to mostly cloudy with a chance of a period of thundershowers.  humidity increasing.
high: 27C (81F)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: partly cloudy and muggy.  good chance of a thunderstorm.
low: 21C (69F)

THURSDAY: a mix of clouds and sun.  humid, with a couple of showers and thunderstorms around.
high: 25C (77F)

FRIDAY: partly to mostly cloudy.  good chance of fog, and a period or two of rain and thunder.
high: 23C (74F)

SATURDAY: a mix of clouds, sun and some fog.  occasional thundershowers.
high: 22C (72F)

SUNDAY: mostly cloudy.  humid with some fog.  good chance of showers.
high: 22C (71F)