Saturday, February 11, 2012

a new storm system... (pm.11.feb.12)>

it was a bright and sunny morning, but high clouds have been thickening up as the day progresses, and just before sunset, we have a mostly cloudy sky.  the high temp this afternoon was a relatively mild 54.1F (12.3C).

for those of you who've been here throughout... it goes without saying that it's been a rough winter.  the final two-thirds of february have a reputation for being one of the most variable and changeable times of the year.  some years, we get an early taste of springtime, with lots of sunshine and temperatures rebounding into the  low 70sF (21-24C).  other years have featured lots of overcast with periods of rain, sleet and snow... all the way until the end of the month.  at this point, it's looking like this year may turn out closer to the latter scenario.

currently, we have a brand new upper-level storm system organizing just to our west, which will be slowly pushing through northern india during the coming 72 hours or so.  there could be a shower or two developing late tonight, but the best chances of rain will be on sunday and monday... with some rain and/or snow showers lingering into tuesday and wednesday.  as always, it will be tricky to nail down the snow line, but based on temps in the middle layers of the atmosphere, i think most of the snow will stay above mcleod ganj, and possibly above naddi and dharamkot as well.  check back here for the latest developments...

SATURDAY NIGHT: mostly cloudy skies.  one or two light showers are possible late.
overnight low: 6C (43F)

SUNDAY: mostly cloudy with a good chance of rain developing.  rainfall amounts could approach 1" (2.5cm) by late sunday night.
daytime high: 9C (49F)

MONDAY: mostly cloudy and cool.  more rain likely.
morning low: 5C (41F)
daytime high: 7C (44F)

TUESDAY: partly to mostly cloudy with a few rain and/or snow showers in the area.
morning low: 3C (38F)
daytime high: 7C (44F)

WEDNESDAY: clouds and a few peeks of sun.  still a good chance of a few scattered rain/snow showers.
morning low: 3C (37F)
daytime high: 7C (45F)

THURSDAY: partly cloudy with a slight chance of a brief shower.
morning low: 3C (38F)
daytime high: 8C (47F)