Wednesday, February 15, 2012

slightly better... (pm.15.feb.12)>

we have a mix of clouds and hazy sunshine at sunset this evening, at the end of a day that has featured a combination of sunshine, clouds and fog.  in fact, it almost looked like a mid-monsoon afternoon, with the thick fog between about 1:00 and 3:00pm.  there has been no measurable rainfall today... and the high temp reached 50.2F (10.1C) during the period of nice sunshine late this morning.

despite the lingering clouds and fog, today turned out nicer than anticipated... with at least a couple of hours of welcome sunshine, and a lack of rain for the first time since saturday.  there have been some scattered showers in himachal this afternoon and evening, but so far, they've avoided us.  those showers are a product of an upper-air pattern that remains unsettled... and which will remain a bit disturbed for the next several days at least.  for that reason, it's hard to completely remove the chance of a rain shower or two from the forecast... except for perhaps on friday, which i still think might be the best day of the whole week.

the computer models are flip-flopping on the intensity of a couple of approaching upper-level disturbances over the weekend into early next week.  it does look likely that temperatures will be milder, but we'll have to keep an eye on rainfall potential...

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: chance of a passing shower, otherwise partly cloudy.
low: 5C (41F)

THURSDAY: a mix of clouds, sun, and a period or two of fog.  one or two brief showers are possible.
high: 9C (49F)

FRIDAY: partly cloudy and a bit milder.
morning low: 6C (42F)
daytime high: 11C (51F)

SATURDAY: partly to mostly cloudy with an increasing chance of rain showers again.
morning low: 8C (46F)
daytime high: 12C (53F)

SUNDAY: chance of a shower or two in the area, otherwise partly to mostly cloudy and mild.
morning low: 9C (48F)
daytime high: 13C (55F)

MONDAY: mostly cloudy with a good chance of a period or two of rain.
morning low: 9C (49F)
daytime high: 13C (55F)