Wednesday, May 30, 2012

warm or hot?... (am.30.may.12)>

A warm and bright morning is underway with sunshine, some light haze, and balmy summertime temps.  My overnight low here on Tushita Road just below the mountaineering center was 74.3F (23.5C) -- the new "warmest low" of the season.

Current forecast trends appear to be on track, with hazy sun, just a few clouds here and there, and peak temperatures of our summer season expected for the next few days.  There are indications that we could see a couple of minor, weak disturbances drift through the area in the upper-flow over the weekend, providing us with a slightly better chance of a random shower or thunderstorm.  Maybe that prospect is actually good news, considering we're likely to end the month of May well below normal in terms of rainfall.  Anyway, it looks like the best window of opportunity for a thundershower would be between late Friday and Sunday.

Our overnight low temps keep rising... our afternoon high temps keep rising... but it appears that the heat may be peaking either tomorrow or Friday, before the arrival of those weak disturbances over the weekend.  We may cool off just a few degrees as we progress through the first week of June, but at this point, don't expect the cooling to be very dramatic...

WEDNESDAY:
hazy sunshine... even warmer.
high: 32C (90F)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT:
mostly clear... unusually warm.
low: 24C (76F)

THURSDAY:
hazy sun and a few clouds.  peak temps of the year?
high: 33C (91F)

FRIDAY (1st of JUNE):
a mix of sun, haze and occasional clouds.  some PM thunder?
morning low: 24C (76F)
daytime high: 32C (90F)

SATURDAY:
partly cloudy with an isolated thunderstorm possible.
morning low: 23C (74F)
daytime high: 32C (89F)

SUNDAY:
a mix of sun and clouds.  not quite as warm, with a risk of a thunderstorm.
morning low: 22C (72F)
daytime high: 30C (86F)