Tuesday, June 19, 2012

seasonal battles... (am.19.jun.12)>

We have hazy sunshine very early on this Tuesday morning, after a comfortably mild night.  My low temp since midnight has been 70.0F (21.1C), but we dipped to a refreshingly cool 67.6F (19.8C) during last evening's thundershowers.  Rainfall here at my location on Tushita Road was 0.23" (6mm) -- not all that impressive -- but it was the greatest single total I have recorded since way back on the 26th of April.  What a dry summer it has been!

The character of the atmosphere yesterday was the closest we've seen yet to actual pre-monsoon conditions.  We had a bump in humidity levels, some weak instability, and the most substantial rainfall in weeks.  The next several days are going to be very interesting... it's now the time of year when the next season is knocking on the door... but how long will the period of transition last?  It's likely that we'll see plenty more sunshine before the regular rhythm of daily rains begins, as computer models are still insisting on a fairly strong bubble of high pressure remaining stubbornly anchored across a large part of northwest India.  On the other hand, tropical moisture will gradually creep northwestward along the front ranges of the central Himalayas, so we could catch some of that action as well, especially by the end of the week.

Temperatures have cooled off a bit, thanks to last evening's rain... but we should still see near or even a bit warmer than normal weather between now and Friday.  Barring another round of thundershowers, overnight temps will be on the rise again as well...

TUESDAY:
a mix of sun and clouds.  chance of a thundershower, mainly in the afternoon.
high: 30C (86F)

TUESDAY NIGHT:
an evening thundershower?  otherwise becoming clear to partly cloudy.
low: 23C (74F)

WEDNESDAY:
hazy sun and occasional clouds.  very warm.
high: 31C (88F)

THURSDAY:
still very warm, with a mix of sun, haze and clouds.
morning low: 24C (76F)
daytime high: 31C (88F)

FRIDAY:
both sunshine and some clouds.  temps steady.
morning low: 25C (77F)
daytime high: 31C (88F)

SATURDAY:
partly cloudy with increasing humidity.  chance of a shower or thundershower.
morning low: 25C (77F)
daytime high: 31C (87F)