Tuesday, July 17, 2012

weak and pathetic... (am.17.jul.12)>

Other than a little light haze, we have 100% clear skies as the sun climbs above the mountains early this morning.  It was a quiet night with no rainfall... and I recorded a low temp of 67.1F (19.5C).

We're now exactly two weeks into this year's monsoon season, and although we've had measurable rain on each and every day since the 3rd of July (see the JULY RAINFALL tab above), our rainfall rates and daily averages have been dropping below normal during the past week or so.  Not to mention the fact that there hasn't been enough deep tropical moisture throughout all layers of the atmosphere to keep persistent clouds and fog in play.  I have a hard time remembering so many sunny breaks, and such scant fog during the middle of July.  Of course we've still been getting some healthy downpours on most days here on the edge of the mountains, but longer lasting genuine monsoon rains have been virtually non-existent.

It looks like the atmosphere will undergo a major realignment by the end of the week.  Although there is some question as to exact timing, the deep tropical moisture which has retreated into mainly northeast India is expected to surge back to the northwest -- rather dramatically, according to some computer model data.  This means that we may find ourselves immersed in conditions much more typical for this time of year -- thick clouds, fog, more persistent rains -- as the weekend progresses.  Until then, enjoy the sunny breaks and the warmer temperatures, but still be prepared for sudden thundershowers.

TUESDAY:
early sun giving way to periods of cloudiness.  good chance of a round of showers/thundershowers.
unseasonably warm.
high: 26C (79F)

TUESDAY NIGHT:
good chance of an evening thundershower in the area, otherwise partly cloudy.
low: 20C (68F)

WEDNESDAY:
warm, with a mix of sun and clouds.  good chance of a thundershower... mainly in the PM.
high: 26C (79F)

THURSDAY:
both clouds and some sun at times.  couple of showers/thundershowers likely.
morning low: 20C (68F)
daytime high: 25C (77F)

FRIDAY:
cooler, with mostly cloudy skies and a glimpse or two of sun.  better chance of some fog, with a few showers and thundershowers likely.
morning low: 19C (67F)
daytime high: 23C (73F)

SATURDAY:
mostly cloudy.  occasional fog, rain and thunder likely.
morning low: 19C (66F)
daytime high: 22C (72F)