Monday, November 19, 2012

november calm... (pm.19.nov.12)>

Monday's stats:

Early morning low temp: 50.4F (10.2C)
Afternoon high temp: 61.2F (16.2C)
Rainfall: none

It has been a pretty fantastic Monday, all in all.  The sunshine was challenged only by a few cumulus clouds over the mountains this afternoon, and temperatures ended up being slightly warmer than expected.  We're still getting temps fairly close to normal for November, or even slightly above.

Although the upper-air pattern is looking rather active over the course of the coming week or ten days, there is very little moisture available throughout all layers of the atmosphere, so measurable rainfall is going to be hard to come by.  The next upper-level disturbance will begin arriving on Wednesday, and should provide us with at least moderate instability for most of the latter half of the week.  At this point, I expect any shower activity (both rain and snow) to remain generally in the higher elevations... but we'll have to watch as things develop.

This year we've experienced a very dry post-monsoon period thus far, with rainfall running well below normal for October and the first half of November.  Temperatures have been on the plus side of normal, which has provided us with a really pleasant autumn/early winter season.  Although cooler weather seems likely by the end of this week, the overall scenario should continue to be rather user-friendly...

MONDAY NIGHT:
clear skies.  seasonably cool.
low: 9C (49F)

TUESDAY:
perhaps a few high clouds moving in, otherwise mostly sunny.
high: 16C (61F)

TUESDAY NIGHT:
some high clouds possible, otherwise fair and cool.
low: 10C (50F)

WEDNESDAY:
sunny to partly cloudy.  an isolated PM sprinkle/light shower?
high: 16C (60F)

THURSDAY:
partly cloudy.  a few sprinkles or a light shower possible.
morning low: 10C (50F)
daytime high: 15C (59F)

FRIDAY:
a brief light shower??  otherwise partly cloudy and quite cool.
morning low: 9C (49F)
daytime high: 15C (59F)

SATURDAY:
a mix of sunshine and some clouds.  cooler...
morning low: 8C (47F)
daytime high: 14C (58F)