Wednesday, September 25, 2013

better for now... (am.25.sep.13)>

It's looking much much better out there early this morning, with clear skies as the sun begins to peek over the Dhauladhars.  My temperature here in the upper part of town is just barely above 62F (16.7C), and the humidity is lower than it's been the last couple of mornings -- right around 58%.  There was no more rainfall overnight, but yesterday's total was 0.97" (2.5cm), thanks to the heavy thundershowers during the mid- to late afternoon.

The clear skies and lower humidity this morning are signs that the stubborn blob of tropical moisture has been pushed back to our southeast -- at least temporarily.  Satellite pics also show that clouds have been pushed almostly completely out of Himachal Pradesh for the moment.  However, winds throughout all layers of the atmosphere have been fickle and variable the last few days, and computer models are showing that they will continue to allow the remnants of monsoon moisture to our south and southeast to drift back up here into our neighborhood during the coming several days.  In fact, there has been a large low pressure circulation meandering around Gujarat since the weekend, and until that weather feature weakens and/or drifts back to the east, a definitive clearing/drying trend is unlikely across most of northwest India.

At any rate, today is looking brighter than the last couple of days at least -- but we'll probably be dealing with the development of some clouds and fog during the afternoon, and a shower or thundershower is not out of the realm of possibility.  Temps will respond nicely to the sunshine, but could plunge again in the event of a thundershower.  Thereafter, we'll just have to take it day by day as we monitor the surges and retreats of this lingering moisture to our south...

CURRENT FORECAST details are available on the tab at the top of the page.