Saturday, October 19, 2013

a stunning start... (am.19.oct.13)>

It is 100% clear at sunrise... and it's looking like we'll be enjoying our sixth sunny morning in a row.  My temperature up here on Tushita Road just below the Mountaineering Center is 58.2F (14.6C), with a humidity reading of 43%.  There has been no rain overnight, none in the past 24 hours, and nothing measurable in my rain gauge since Tuesday afternoon.

Apart from potential afternoon thunder development over the Dhauladhars, things are very quiet and uneventful recently.  A stubborn weak disturbance in the upper-levels is lingering over central Jammu & Kashmir, otherwise a general west-northwest flow continues to usher in drier air from central Asia, allowing our daily average humidity to fall gradually, day by day.  Our morning hours have been full of sunshine the past several days, but clouds have continued to develop over the mountains during the afternoons, keeping us from reveling in completely worry-free weather.  Computer model data is totally devoid of precipitation development in our area, but just keep in mind that isolated shower or thundershower risk along the slopes of the Dhauladhars during the PM hours.

Although it's been a bit chillier at night, temperatures remain at least a couple of degrees above normal for the latter half of October.  There is no indication of a significant push of colder air into northern India any time soon, so this seasonably pleasant vibe should hang around as we head into the last week of the month.

The CURRENT FORECAST details can be found on the tab above.