Thursday, January 16, 2014

starting with sun... (am.16.jan.14)>

A clear and beautiful morning is underway, for a change, with humidity currently at 44%.  I've recorded a relatively mild overnight low of 43.2F (6.2C), and there has been no precipitation since last report.

Our sunny breaks have not lasted very long recently, as an endless train of upper-level disturbances the last twelve days or so have kept us in and out of thick clouds on a regular basis.  We've also had at least a sprinkle of rain, a flake or two of snow, or an ice pellet of some kind on nine of fifteen days this month.  But -- in spite of all that, we're running way below normal for January precipitation so far.

A weak ridge of high pressure will be in control for most of today, providing us with sunshine for at least the first part of the day, along with temperatures rising a few degrees (F) above normal for this time of year.  Already the next upper-level system is spreading clouds into Pakistan, however, and we should start to see an increase in high clouds as early as mid-day.  That system will swing across northern India tomorrow and Saturday -- but all the data continues to show the vast majority of the precipitation development happening off to our east, as moisture gets pulled northward in advance of the upper-level circulation.  So at this stage, it looks again as if we'll miss out on a healthy dose of rain and snow.  Of course we'll keep a close eye on it, in case there are last minute flip-flops.

Things look quiet and very mild for Sunday into Monday -- before the next shot at some potentially wet weather by the middle of next week.

The CURRENT FORECAST is available on the tab above.