Saturday, February 1, 2014

quiet period ending... (pm.01.feb.14)>

Saturday's stats:

Low temp: 47.8F (8.8C)
High temp: 55.8F (13.2C)
Precipitation: none

It is mostly cloudy as darkness descends this evening, at the end of a day that was pretty evenly split between sun and mid/high clouds.  With such a mild air mass in place, the limited sunshine was still enough to put us in the same range we've been enjoying all week long -- which is about 4F (2C) above average for the first of February.  Humidity remains mainly in the 40-50% range.

Due to the very quiet weather during the past week or so, I haven't been able to keep myself from dropping hints about the dramatic change in the weather pattern which is on the way -- and which is now just around the corner.  It definitely looks like we are on the verge of some major changes which will bring us some significantly more active winter weather than we've experienced in the past ten days, and perhaps more action than we had during all of January.

A strong wave of upper-level energy dropping southeastward into northern Iran this evening will be the trigger for the development of stormy conditions across the western Himalayan region during the next couple of days.  It also looks like it will be followed by several strong upper-level disturbances over the course of the next week to ten days that will keep us under the gun for occasional bouts of wet weather.

I have a concern that the most significant precipitation is going to fall just a bit to our north with this initial system arriving late tomorrow night -- but after checking all of the computer model data and averaging it out, 2-3cm (0.8 -1.2") of rain and/or melted snow is still the general projection for our area here along the front slopes of the Dhauladhars between the wee hours of Monday morning and Tuesday morning.  Temperatures will be turning much colder, but probably not cold enough for snow at our elevation here in McLeod.  Of course I'll be posting twice-daily updates -- and more often if required.

Get the CURRENT FORECAST details on the tab above.