Thursday, March 27, 2014

rain potential increases... (pm.27.mar.14)>

Thursday's stats:

Low temp: 53.2F (11.8C)
High temp: 59.0F (15.0C)
Rainfall: trace

The view outside at sunset this evening is very similar to what it looked like at sunrise -- with thick high clouds and some large patches of mid-level cloudiness across the area.  There are also a couple of light sprinkles of rain happening at the moment, and we've had a bit of drizzle and a few sprinkles off and on since late this morning -- though there's been nothing measurable.  Sunshine was limited to a few fleeting glimpses here and there, and that kept our temperatures from moving very much at all today.

All week we've been looking toward an increasing chance of some significant rainfall starting tonight and continuing through Friday night.  That outlook still seems to be on target, as the latest upper-level disturbance moves east-northeastward in our persistent and stubborn flow aloft.  As I mentioned this morning, there's no well-defined circulation center associated with this disturbance, but it has managed to gather up a significant amount of moisture from the Arabian Sea, which will be translated into developing showers and thundershowers here along the mountains of northern India during the coming 24-36 hours or so.  I think we'll see rainfall amounts of around one inch (2.5cm) at the most, but potential totals will become more clear by tomorrow morning.

There could be some lingering showers in the area on Saturday, but then we will find ourselves in a major improvement mode as the new week arrives.  Apart from the risk of a PM thundershower over the mountains, we should embark upon a period of a few days of drier, sunnier and milder weather as March comes to an end and April arrives.  It doesn't look like a permanent change, but at least a step in the right direction.

The CURRENT FORECAST can be found on the tab at the top of the page.