Tuesday, April 15, 2014

unsettled days ahead... (pm.15.apr.14)>

Tuesday's stats:

Low temp: 58.1F (14.5C)
High temp: 70.1F (21.2C)
Rainfall: none

We're under some thick cloudiness just before sunset this evening, though we did have a good amount of sunshine until mid-afternoon in the midst of occasional mainly high clouds.  That sun boosted my temp in the upper part of town above 70F for only the second time this season.  Despite the increase in clouds, the average humidity today was very low -- in the range of 25-35% all day long.

The first in what appears to be a lengthy series of upper-level disturbances has come in a bit ahead of schedule this afternoon, stirring up an extensive area of cloudiness across Punjab, Himachal and Jammu & Kashmir.  There could also be a few light showers embedded in the clouds somewhere, but with this very low humidity at the surface, it's tough for any raindrops to survive on their way down.  The various computer models are unbelievably inconsistent with the timing of the individual disturbances which will move through between tonight and Saturday... but suffice it to say that we've got a few days in a row with at least a mentionable chance of some scattered shower and thundershower activity.  There will be a lot of back-and-forth between sunny and cloudy periods during the rest of this week as well.

Right now it doesn't look to me like all the necessary conditions are going to come together to be able to deliver a very significant amount of rainfall by the time Saturday rolls around, but we'll just have to keep a close eye on developing and changeable conditions over the course of the next several days.  Temperatures will remain variable as well, depending on alternating periods of sun, clouds, and showers.

CURRENT FORECAST details can be found on the tab above.