Wednesday, May 14, 2014

attempts at recovery... (am.14.may.14)>

The sun is visible through some broken high clouds early this morning, and the humidity is 54%.  There were some scattered thundershowers trying to hold together last night as they moved across Himachal Pradesh, but at least at my location there was nothing more than a trace of additional rainfall to report.  I'm recording an overnight low temp of 54.5F (12.5C).

The upper-level circulation that was the engine driving our recent bout of wet and unseasonably cold weather is weakening rapidly, but still spinning around over extreme northern Pakistan.  Its dynamic energy is all but gone, but as it slowly lifts off to the northeast today, there could still be enough lingering instability to trigger a couple of showers or thundershowers somewhere in our vicinity.  Otherwise, improvement in our overall situation is already underway, with the first stages of a warm-up expected today.

Warming throughout all layers of the atmosphere will kick in in earnest by tomorrow, with a mix of sunshine and occasional clouds expected for the remainder of the week.  Of course we nearly always have to keep one eye on potential PM instability and thunder development over the mountains, but that should be our only issue to deal with until perhaps Saturday evening.  By then, a weak (and further weakening) disturbance will glide in from the west, giving us a little better chance of a few showers into Sunday and Monday.

CURRENT FORECAST details are available on the tab above.