Sunday, May 18, 2014

streak of calm... (pm.18.may.14)>

Sunday's stats:

Low temp: 61.3F (16.3C)
High temp: 72.8F (22.7C)
Rainfall: none

We have nice evening sunshine and pleasant temperatures in progress at the moment, with only a few scattered clouds around.  This morning's cloudiness was very sluggish to clear, and never did really allow the sun to take over completely -- and that kept our temps a bit below expectations for the second day in a row.  Still, we have to call it comfortably warm, even if we remain quite a bit cooler than normal for the middle of May.  Today was the fifth day in a row without any rain at all, and believe it or not, that's the first time I've recorded a dry streak like this since way back in mid-February!

A stationary upper-level disturbance and circulation continues to weaken over Afghanistan, as a rather tepid high pressure ridge sprawls across northwest India.  This pattern is an uneventful one for us, really, keeping us from busting into any kind of a seasonable heat wave, but also keeping the instability factor under control.  That's producing this mixture of clouds and sun, pleasant temps, and only a couple of very random mainly PM showers in the higher mountains.

There are no dramatic changes on the charts for us during the coming several days, though our upper-level flow is going to turn from the south-southwest to more of a west-northwesterly direction.  We still can't rule out an isolated thundershower at some point, but any rainfall amounts should be fairly light this week.  Computer models continue to show a warming trend, but I'll be very surprised if we can ever get even as high as 80F, which is still slightly below normal for this time of year.

The CURRENT FORECAST details are available on the tab above.