Thursday, July 17, 2014

not much improvement... (am.17.jul.14)>

Skies are cloudy, and a light drizzle is falling very early on this Thursday morning.  There was an extended period of rain overnight, but it was quite light -- only registering 0.17" (4mm) in my rain gauge here in the upper part of town.  I'm recording a low temperature of 63.5F (17.5C), with humidity hovering right around 80%.

The UPDATED RAINFALL TALLY on the tab (above) lists the daily rainfall amounts (from midnight-midnight) since the 1st of June, and you can see how impressive the rains have been during the past several days, and how large the totals for the month and the monsoon season are becoming.  Check it out.

Computer models continue to be all over the place with precipitation development and amounts as we head toward the weekend, but I think the main issue is that there is not going to be any long-lasting withdrawal/retreat of this current air mass in place.  There are subtle hints of some kind of a drying trend sometime between late Friday and perhaps early Tuesday, but it is not nearly definitive enough to risk taking out the probability of occasional periods of rain showers (and thunder at times).  I think there is still a good chance of at least a couple of waves of moderate to heavy rainfall during the coming days as well, which could occur virtually anytime.

We've still not really reached the point of being socked in with 100% humidity and fog for hours and hours straight -- but that kind of scenario will come eventually as we press deeper into the season, so probably best not to worry too much about it!  It's nice that we've been able to squeeze out at least a little sunshine on most days.

CURRENT FORECAST details can be found on the tab at the top of the page.