Monday, August 18, 2014

sun to fog to showers... (pm.18.aug.14)>

*Update @ 8:04pm... My rain gauge here on Tushita Road in the upper part of town shows only 0.01" (less than 1mm) from our evening showers.  I'm sure it was considerably more than that in the main market of McLeod between about 6:30 and 6:45pm.  Oh well.  Still, it's pretty easy to say that our rainfall total during the past two days has been the lowest since the very beginning of the monsoon season in late June.

*Update @ 7:08pm... Those rain showers came and went very quickly.  Will check the rain gauge and post the amount later this evening.

----------------------------------------------------------
Monday's stats:

Low temp: 62.0F (16.7C)
High temp: 74.7F (23.7C)
Rainfall: trace -- as of 4:30pm

It's cloudy and foggy at the moment, with rain shower intensity rapidly picking up in just the past few minutes.  Up until very recently, it was looking like we could have ended up with two consecutive days without measurable rainfall -- for the first time since late June.  We had a good amount of sunshine until the early afternoon, but the clouds and fog gradually developed and thickened as the day wore on, leading to pretty gloomy conditions since around 3:00pm.  Humidity today has averaged in the 70-90% range, though it's climbed higher in the past hour or two.

The computer models are still showing a shocking lack of precipitation development across most of the western Himalayan region during the next two or three days, as the ingredients necessary for true monsoon conditions remain weak.  Unseasonably dry air in the middle and upper levels of the atmosphere is parked over most of northwest India, though there is still a good amount of lingering moisture in the lower levels.  This is a classic recipe for morning sunshine, but then some cloud/fog development towards the mid-day and early afternoon hours -- along with a risk of some PM shower/thundershower development over the mountains as well.

All in all, the situation during the rest of this week will be much more tolerable than what is normally happening this time of year.  However, we'll have to be ready for the next advance/surge of deeper tropical moisture (and its effects) by Friday or so.  There's still plenty of this year's monsoon season yet to endure...