Saturday, April 25, 2015

same factors in play... (am.25.apr.15)>

We'll have abundant sunshine in a matter of minutes as the sun peeks over the Dhauladhars early on this Saturday morning.  It's been another clear, calm and quiet night, with no rainfall, and a low temperature of 62.4F (16.9C).  The current temp is hovering very near that overnight low.

I've recorded three 80ºF+ high temps since Monday, and there's a chance we could hit that number again today and tomorrow (Sun), as long as we don't get too much mountain cumulus development during the afternoon hours to cut down our sun-time.  This has indeed been a pleasant stretch of weather -- though I've already been hearing many people complain that it's getting too hot.  How quickly the tide can turn!

Again today we have to be aware of the afternoon instability factor which could lead to some isolated thundershower development along the mountains -- otherwise things are looking great.  Some even warmer air pushing in aloft on Sunday may trim back that afternoon instability, but then it will return again on Monday and Tuesday, as an upper-level disturbance approaches from the west.  Computer models are also showing a band of moisture creeping in from the southeast by Monday, so we're looking at a decent chance of at least a couple of rounds of showers and/or thunderstorms -- especially between Monday afternoon and late Tuesday night.  In fact, most of next week is looking rather unstable and changeable, with the potential for showers/thunder every day except perhaps on Wednesday.  Temperatures will also drop a few degrees, though it shouldn't be unpleasantly cool.

THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK is on the tab at the top of the page, if you want specs.