Friday, May 1, 2015

may is here... (am.01.may.15)>

We are back to 100% clear skies at the dawn of this first morning of May.  The rowdy batch of thunderstorms last night between about 7:30 and 8:50pm moved off to the east and out of the picture very quickly -- but not before leaving 0.32" (8mm) of rain in my gauge up here at the top of McLeod Ganj.  I'm recording a low temp of 54.3F (12.4C), but it's now up to about 58F (14.4C) just before sunrise.

There's going to be more sunshine both today and tomorrow (Sat) around here, but a sprawling pool of colder air in the upper-atmosphere in association with the upper-level disturbance which continues to pass to our north will set us up for afternoon instability.  The computer model data is never very good at recognizing the micro-scale instability features present here along the front slopes of the mountains, so it's always a bit of a challenge to anticipate what might develop by 2:00 or 3:00pm.  Enjoy the sunshine both today and Saturday, but keep in mind the potential for cloudiness to quickly develop over the mountains, leading to a chance of some isolated to widely scattered thundershowers between mid-afternoon and early evening.

A ridge of high pressure building in from the southwest should stabilize our atmosphere and get rid of most of that PM thunder potential by Sunday -- with a generally dry week shaping up.  It also looks like our temperatures will be rising above normal/average for early May by Tuesday, with genuine heat wave conditions setting up on the north Indian plains to our south.

Get the details on THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK tab above.