Thursday, October 22, 2015

still superb... (pm.22.oct.15)>

Thursday's stats:

Low temp: 57.4F (14.1C)
High temp: 68.1F (20.0C)
Rainfall: none

There are a few wispy high clouds above, otherwise it's mostly clear and beautiful as darkness settles in this Dussehra evening.  It's been another fantastic day, with mostly sunny skies (apart from PM mountain cumulus development), pleasant temps, and humidity between 40 and 45%.

A brisk westerly upper-level flow overruns a dry air mass in place across most of north India, and this set-up should keep things quiet and comfortable for another day or two.  We're still watching a developing upper-level storm system which will be organizing and sliding into the western Himalayan region by late Saturday.  RIght now it appears that the initial thundershower development will take place in the higher elevations to our north on Saturday, and perhaps into Sunday as well.  But this system will be a slow-mover, and as it pulls a moderate amount of moisture into its circulation, we will have to contend with a decent chance of a few waves of rain and thundertorms all the way into Tuesday.  If I had to nail it down, I think Sunday afternoon through late Monday night would be the target for the most significant rainfall and stormy conditions in our general area.

Although an upper-level rotation will remain overhead through the middle of next week, much drier air and stable air will take over -- and that should squash the shower potential by late Tuesday.  We'll have to keep an eye on the temperature forecast, as it could cool off significantly as this system rolls through....

Get a look at specifics on THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK (above).