Tuesday, April 12, 2016

a much better scenario.. (pm.12.apr.16)>

Tuesday's stats:

Low temp: 57.0F (13.9C)
High temp: 74.8F (23.8C)
Rainfall: none

It's a picture perfect evening as the sun sinks toward the horizon -- totally clear skies other than a few dying puffs of cumulus clouds in the immediate vicinity of the highest Dhauladhar peaks.  I'm sure this day would qualify as one of the finest of 2016, with temperatures rising significantly and full sunshine only being challenged by that feeble mountain cumulus development during the afternoon hours.  Today's high temp at my location in the upper part of town was the fourth warmest of the month, the season and the year.

With a rather benign west-northwesterly flow aloft leading to a building ridge of high pressure by Thursday, we're getting the chance to experience a relatively stable atmosphere for the first time in a while.  There is still the ever-present concern about some kind of rogue thundershower development along the mountain slopes during the mid- to late afternoon hours, otherwise we should have dry weather the next three or four days, along with a majority of sunshine.  The high cirrus cloud issues could threaten us by the later part of the week, which could keep our warming trend from getting completely out of control.  Models are showing some seriously warm temps for us by Thursday, Friday and Saturday -- even 80ºF (26ºC) seems possible if the high clouds don't take too much of the sun away.

This preliminary taste of summer doesn't look permanent, however, as another period of unsettled and potentially wet weather creeps back into the forecast by Sunday, lasting perhaps into the middle of next week.

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