Tuesday, May 2, 2017

the latest disturbance... (pm.02.may.17)>

Tuesday's stats:

Low temp: 61.0F (16.1C)
High temp: 77.3F (25.2C)
Rainfall: none

It is partly cloudy as the sun sets this evening, after a day of alternating sunshine, mainly high clouds, and dim sun filtered through those high clouds.  Were it not for the cloudiness, our high temp would have probably hit 80ºF/27ºC, which is a bit above the average maximum for the first few days of May.

It's getting very repetitive to talk about the disturbed upper-level flow we've been dealing with for the last eight or nine days... but that really does continue to be the weather theme lately.  The next disturbance of note is organizing in the vicinity of Uzbekistan at the moment, and will swing across Himalayan north India tomorrow (Wed) into early Thursday.  Current data indicates that the best chance of significant precipitation will be in the higher elevations to our north and northeast between late tonight and Thursday afternoon... but it's looking like we could get at least something measurable in the rain gauge during that time period as well.  I'm not extremely pumped up about our prospects, but we'll have to keep an eye on things during the coming 36 to 48 hours or so.

Thereafter... signs of a building ridge of summertime high pressure are looking better and better over the weekend into at least the middle of next week.  There's likely going to be some moisture around, which means the risk of isolated thundershowers is not entirely out of the question, but the bigger news is an aggressive rise in temperatures which could take us back into the range we were experiencing a couple of weeks ago during our early-season April heat wave...